Publications

Syria Situation Report: February 7 - 21, 2018

February 23, 2018 - Press ISW

This series of graphics marks the latest installment of our Syria SITREP Map made possible through a partnership between the Institute for the Study of War and Syria Direct. These graphics depict significant developments in the Syrian Civil War from February 7 - 21, 2018. The control of terrain represented on the graphics is accurate as of February 22, 2018.

The Link Between Eastern Ghouta and US National Security

February 22, 2018 - Jennifer Cafarella

American passivity in the face of Assad’s violence, enabled by Iran and Russia, will not only deepen the humanitarian crisis, it also harms U.S. national security, Jennifer Cafarella argues in a FoxNews.com opinion essay.

Tamping down the crisis in Turkey

February 16, 2018 - Jennifer Cafarella

ISW's Senior Intelligence Planner, Jennifer Cafarella, on deteriorating U.S. - Turkish relations and the Kurdish diaspora featured in The Hill.

Russian Air Power Shapes Strategic Balance in Northern Syria

February 14, 2018 - Chris Kozak
By Christopher Kozak


America's Global Competitions: The Gray Zone in Context

February 14, 2018 - LTG James M. Dubik (U.S. Army, Ret.)

The U.S. faces three, interlocking competitions that will determine the future of the international order. The competitions pit America, its allies, and its partners against: the revisionist powers in Russia, China, and Iran; the revolutionary powers in the global movement animated by groups like al Qaeda ISIS; and the rogue power in North Korea. Success for the U.S. will require wrestling with all three competitions simultaneously and leveraging progress across them.

Electoral Shifts Likely Following Deadline Extension for Candidates

February 12, 2018 - Jessa "Rose" Dury-Agri

Iraq’s political parties will use a week-long extension on the submission of electoral list candidates to reshape unofficial and official electoral list alliances.

Syria Situation Report: January 24 - February 7, 2018

February 9, 2018 - Press ISW

This series of graphics marks the latest installment of our Syria SITREP Map made possible through a partnership between the Institute for the Study of War and Syria Direct. These graphics depict significant developments in the Syrian Civil War from January 24 - February 7, 2018. The control of terrain represented on the graphics is accurate as of February 8, 2018.

Iraq’s Judiciary Rules against Sunni Politician Ahead of Iraqi Elections

February 9, 2018 - Omer Kassim

Vice President Nouri al-Maliki–seeking to regain the premiership–is likely leveraging his influence over the judicial process to marginalize political rivals ahead of the legislative and provincial elections, slated for May 12, 2018. Maliki previously influenced Iraq’s judiciary and ostensibly independent bodies to eliminate rival candidates and politicians during his two terms as Prime Minister (2006-2014).

Turkey Exploits Seams of Russo-Iranian Coalition in Idlib

February 6, 2018 - Press ISW

Turkey is succeeding in its campaign of imposing cost on pro-regime forces in northwestern Syria. Turkey’s recent deployment to reinforce the de-escalation zone in Idlib Province capitalizes on the divergent tactical prioritizations between Russia and Iran in Syria.

Iraqi Prime Minister’s Electoral Coalition Fractures, Signaling Change of Premier

February 2, 2018 - Press ISW

The U.S. should reassess military and political plans that rest on Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi’s continued premiership after Iraq’s May 12, 2018 elections. A series of splits from Abadi’s electoral list will increase opportunities for alternative candidates to gain the premiership. Abadi’s failed political alliance with Iranian-backed Popular Mobilization Forces and inability to maintain the confidence of Ammar al-Hakim’s political allies signals that Abadi is unable to manage varying political interests and will struggle to hold together a post-election coalition.

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