"The American refusal to proffer lethal aid serves only to undermine the credibility of the U.S. with the opposition, while strengthening the hand of Qatar and Saudi Arabia." ISW Founder and President Dr. Kimberly Kagan writes for Hoover Institution's Strategika.
Middle East Security Research
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Today, political and military power in Iraq is highly centralized in Prime Minister Maliki’s personal office. This will have important implications for the future of Iraq and the trajectory and durability of its democratic transition.
At least 3 million Syrians have been displaced from their homes but remain within their war-torn country with no way to escape. PBS NewsHour reports.
In early 2012, ISW, AEI, and the Brookings Institution undertook a war game designed to simulate a worsening of the Syrian conflict and its effects on neighboring countries.
The conflict in Syria transitioned from an insurgency to a civil war during the summer of 2012. This report seeks to explain how the Assad regime lost its counterinsurgency campaign, but remains well situated to fight a protracted civil war against Syria’s opposition.
Current estimates of Syrian opposition strength have generated confidence that the Assad regime will be defeated militarily. This assessment cannot be made without also estimating the real fighting power of the Syrian regime.
The apparent beginnings of a campaign to remove Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, and the threat of a similar campaign against his most significant opponent suggest that Iraqi politics is entering a period of intense political jockeying.
This report examines the political, religious, and military resurgence of Asa’ib Ahl al-Haq (AAH) in Iraq since the withdrawal of U.S. Forces, identifying the group’s key actors, their present disposition and strategy, and their regional expansion.
Recent rebel victories in the Syrian capital region, such as the closure of the Damascus International airport, have led to speculation that the Assad regime may be close to collapse
ISW Senior Fellow Lieutenant General James M. Dubik (U.S. Army, Ret.) discusses recent developments in Syria, including possible regime use of chemical weapons.