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Adversary Entente Task Force Update, June 26, 2025

Jun 26, 2025 - ISW Press

Russian, the People's Republic of China (PRC), and North Korean officials condemned the US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities for violating Iran’s sovereignty, exacerbating tensions, and targeting nuclear facilities, and accused the United States of being untrustworthy. None of these countries are likely to provide Iran with significant military aid to help ensure the regime’s survival or operational success against Israel, despite rhetorical support. Russia may provide Iran with regime stability assets or a small number of Shahed drones, but both of these contingencies are low probability in the near to medium-term.

Iran Update, June 25, 2025

Jun 25, 2025 - ISW Press

Preliminary intelligence assessments suggest the US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities caused serious damage to the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP). The New York Times published a June 25 report on a leaked, low-confidence US intelligence assessment of the recent US strikes on the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant.

Kabila’s Return to the DRC: Africa File Special Edition

Jun 24, 2025 - ISW Press

Former Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) President Joseph Kabila has reentered Congolese politics amid the eastern DRC crisis after a multiyear hiatus. Kabila remained outside of the DRC for more than a year and kept a low profile until he began remobilizing his political networks to “organize his return to the forefront” in late 2024.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 23, 2025

Jun 23, 2025 - ISW Press

The Kremlin continues to only diplomatically support Iran, showcasing the limitations in the Russian-Iranian strategic relationship. Russian President Vladimir Putin, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Russian Presidential Aide Yuriy Ushakov, and Chief of the Russian General Staff's Main Directorate (GRU) Igor Kostykov met with Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Abbas Araghchi in Moscow on June 23.

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