Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 2, 2025
July 2, 2025 - ISW Press
The United States paused weapons supplies to Ukraine, including critical air defense interceptors, artillery shells, missiles, and rockets.
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Publications
Adversary Entente Task Force Update, July 2, 2025
July 2, 2025 - ISW Press
Iran may be seeking closer military cooperation with the PRC following Russia’s failure to support Iran meaningfully during and in the aftermath of the Israel-Iran war. The PRC is unlikely to provide Iran with the military systems it is seeking, however.
Iran Update July 1, 2025
July 1, 2025 - ISW Press
Iran is continuing to try to assess damage at the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 1, 2025
July 1, 2025 - ISW Press
A Russian occupation official claimed that Russian forces seized the entirety of Luhansk Oblast for the second time during Russia's full-scale invasion, but Russian milbloggers denied this claim.
Iran Update, June 30, 2025
June 30, 2025 - ISW Press
US officials told Western media that Iranian officials said in intercepted communications that the US strikes on Iran’s nuclear program were “less devastating” than anticipated, which is inconsistent with previous open-source reporting and the nature of the strikes. Four unspecified US officials familiar with US intelligence said that the intercepted communication included Iranian officials speculating as to why the US airstrikes were not as destructive and extensive as they anticipated.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 30, 2025
June 30, 2025 - ISW Press
High-ranking Kremlin statements, including from Russian President Vladimir Putin, continue to demonstrate Russia's wider territorial ambitions in Ukraine beyond Crimea and the four oblasts that Russia has illegally annexed. Russian President Vladimir Putin held a meeting on June 30 on the socioeconomic development of occupied Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia, and Kherson oblasts during which he frequently referred to occupied Ukraine as “Donbas and Novorossiya.”
Russian Occupation Update, June 30, 2025
June 30, 2025 - ISW Press
The Russian federal Unified Institute for Spatial Planning (EIPP) announced plans on June 30 to develop the “tourist potential” of occupied Ukraine. Russia’s insistence on treating occupied Ukraine as a viable tourist destination is a potential violation of international law.
A Primer on Russian Cognitive Warfare
June 30, 2025 - ISW Press
Russia is a key player in the cognitive warfare space and a model for China, Iran, and North Korea. Russia has effectively used cognitive warfare to facilitate its war in Ukraine, shape Western decision-making, obfuscate Russian objectives, preserve Russian President Vladimir Putin's regime, and mask Russia’s weaknesses.
Iran Update, June 29, 2025
June 29, 2025 - ISW Press
Iran has likely begun to assess damage and conduct repair operations at the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant. Commercially available satellite imagery captured on June 28 and 29 shows Iranian heavy equipment near two clusters of three impact points on ventilation shafts at FFEP that were caused by US GBU-57 bunker-buster bombs.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 29, 2025
June 29, 2025 - ISW Press
Russia conducted its largest combined strike series of the war on the night of June 28 to 29 by launching over 500 missiles and drones against Ukraine.