Publications

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 4, 2025

July 4, 2025 - ISW Press

Russian forces conducted the largest combined drone and missile strike against Ukraine since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion on the night of July 3 to 4, primarily targeting Kyiv City. Russian forces have conducted 10 of the largest strikes in the war since January 2025.

Iran Update, July 4, 2025

July 4, 2025 - ISW Press

Senior Iranian officials are reiterating red lines for Iran’s nuclear program ahead of planned nuclear negotiations with the United States.

Iran Update, July 3, 2025

July 3, 2025 - ISW Press

Israel is reportedly drafting a mechanism to prevent Iran from being able to rebuild its nuclear program following the conclusion of the Israel–Iran War, according to Israeli media. The mechanism is reportedly similar to the US-approved Israeli monitoring mechanism for the ceasefire in Lebanon that allows Israel to conduct preemptive operations against Hezbollah if Hezbollah violates the November 2024 Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire agreement.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 3, 2025

July 3, 2025 - ISW Press

Russian President Vladimir Putin rejected US President Donald Trump's call for a quick peace in Ukraine during a phone call with Trump on July 3. Russian Presidential Aide Yuriy Ushakov claimed on July 3 that Trump once again raised the issue of a quick end to Russia's war in Ukraine and that Putin claimed that Russia continues its efforts for a negotiated end to the war.

Iran Update Special Report: Iraq after the Israel-Iran War, June 13 - July 3, 2025

July 3, 2025 - ISW Press

Iranian-backed Iraqi Shia actors failed to mount a coordinated military and political campaign against the United States in response to the US and Israeli air campaign in Iran between July 12 and 24.

Iran Update Special Report: Syria after the Israel-Iran War, June 13 – July 3, 2025

July 3, 2025 - ISW Press

US Special Envoy to Syria Tom Barrack said on June 26 that the US objectives in Syria are to eliminate the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and protect the Syrian government from Iranian-backed militias.

China-Taiwan Weekly Update, July 3, 2025

July 3, 2025 - ISW Press

Taiwan is expanding and modernizing its annual Han Kuang joint military exercise to better prepare the military and population for a PLA invasion.

JNIM Attacks Across Mali; Biya Faces Challengers in Cameroon: Africa File, July 3, 2025

July 3, 2025 - ISW Press

Al Qaeda’s Sahelian affiliate Jama’at Nusrat al Islam wa al Muslimeen launched a series of simultaneous attacks across Mali. The operation was a tactical defeat but could have strategic benefits for the group by contradicting the Malian junta’s narrative that the security situation is improving, especially in economically and politically sensitive areas, such as western Mali.

Russian Occupation Update, July 3, 2025

July 3, 2025 - ISW Press

Russia is training Ukrainian children to become drone operators for future service in the Russian military or employment in the Russian defense industrial base (DIB).

Iran Update, July 2, 2025

July 2, 2025 - ISW Press

Former President Hassan Rouhani is likely attempting to reenter Iran’s political scene by presenting the post-war crisis as a chance to reform governance, restore public trust, and recalibrate the regime’s trajectory.

Pages