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Dec 16, 2025

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 16, 2025

Toplines The Council of the European Union confirmed that European countries and the United States will provide “robust” security guarantees to Ukraine as part of the peace deal to end Russia’s war in Ukraine.[1]  The Council of the European Union issued a joint statement on December 15 affirming that the United States and European leaders ... Read more

Dec 16, 2025

Iran Update, December 16, 2025

Key Takeaways Iran The newly established Mobarizoun Popular Front (MPF), which is a coalition of Baloch organizations, released a video on December 11 in which it called on Iranians to engage in protest activities against the Iranian regime.[1] Jaish al Adl, which is a Baloch, Salafi-jihadi organization that operates in southeastern Iran, and several other ... Read more

Dec 15, 2025

Iran Update, December 15, 2025

Toplines The Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) likely seeks to conduct insider or “green-on-blue” attacks targeting US forces in Syria as part of an effort to reduce US forces’ trust in Syrian partner forces and disrupt the United States’ ability to effectively work with Syrian partners to defeat ISIS. A suspected ISIS-aligned ... Read more

Dec 15, 2025

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 15, 2025

Toplines US, Ukrainian, and European officials reportedly agreed on unspecified security guarantees for Ukraine during a peace negotiation meeting in Berlin, Germany, on December 15. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukrainian Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov, US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff, and former Senior Advisor to the US President Jared Kushner met ... Read more