Publications

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 13, 2025

June 13, 2025 - ISW Press

Russian officials largely condemned the June 13 Israeli strikes against Iran, as Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to offer to facilitate negotiations on Iran's nuclear program.

Iran Update Special Edition: Israeli Strikes on Iran, June 13, 2025

June 13, 2025 - ISW Press

This update is the second of at least three CTP-ISW Iran Updates over the next 24 hours that will cover the Iran-Israel war. The recent Israeli strikes are a rapidly evolving situation, and no single individual or organization will have complete information at this time, including the states involved.

Iran Update Special Edition: Israeli Strikes on Iran, June 12, 2025

June 12, 2025 - ISW Press

Israel conducted the first strikes of its air campaign targeting the Iranian nuclear program and regime leadership on June 12. This update is the first of at least three CTP-ISW Iran Updates over the next 24 hours that will cover the situation as it evolves.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2025

June 12, 2025 - ISW Press

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces have sustained over one million casualties since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, over half of which occurred since January 2024.[

Wagner Out, Africa Corps In: Africa File, June 12, 2025

June 12, 2025 - ISW Press

The Russian Wagner Group formally withdrew from Mali, as the Kremlin continues to transition control of its military operations in Africa to the Ministry of Defense–backed Africa Corps. The shift to more overt Russian state military involvement in Africa creates myriad domestic and geopolitical risks for the Kremlin. Russia may accordingly adapt its engagement in Africa to the detriment of its current and prospective partnerships.

Russian Occupation Update, June 12, 2025

June 12, 2025 - ISW Press

Occupied Crimea is poised to face a severe water crisis in the coming months, a crisis that the Russian occupation of Crimea has precipitated and which ongoing Russian mismanagement and resource misallocation will exacerbate.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 11, 2025

June 11, 2025 - ISW Press

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated on June 10 that the United States intends to reduce its budget for the purchase of weapons for Ukraine in 2026.

Iran Update, June 11, 2025

June 11, 2025 - ISW Press

The United States authorized the voluntary departure of US military dependents and began preparations for a partial US Embassy Baghdad evacuation amid new pessimism about US-Iran nuclear talks.

Russian Force Generation and Technological Adaptations Update June 11, 2025

June 11, 2025 - ISW Press

Ukrainian officials warned that the People's Republic of China (PRC) is increasingly enabling Russia to improve and grow its drone production. Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service (SZRU) Spokesperson Oleh Aleksandrov told Politico in an interview published on June 5 that Chinese manufacturers are providing Russian developers with hardware, electronics, navigation, optical, and telemetry systems, engines, microcircuits, processor modules, antenna field systems, and control boards.

Adversary Entente Task Force Update, June 11, 2025

June 11, 2025 - ISW Press

Russian President Vladimir Putin offered to facilitate the United States-Iran nuclear negotiations. Putin likely seeks to portray Russia as a useful collaborator and partner that the United States needs to achieve certain global outcomes. It is far from clear, however, that Russia has the leverage to help secure a nuclear agreement.

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