China-Taiwan Weekly Update, June 6, 2025
June 6, 2025 - ISW Press
A senior Taiwanese official expressed concern that the People’s Republic of China (PRC) could use its influence over the Taiwanese entertainment sector to shape public opinion.
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Publications
Iran Update, June 5, 2025
June 5, 2025 - ISW Press
Russia continues to position itself as a mediator in the US–Iran nuclear negotiations. Russia’s mediation of the US–Iran talks would be very unlikely to secure US interests given Russia’s alignment with Iran.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 5, 2025
June 5, 2025 - ISW Press
Russian forces are reportedly sustaining an average of 1,140 casualties per day and suffering disproportionately high personnel casualties for marginal, grinding territorial gains. Ukrainian Ministry of Defense (MoD) news agency ArmyInform reported on June 5 that an unnamed NATO official stated that Russian forces are sustaining an average casualty rate of 1,140 personnel per day, of whom nearly 975 are killed in action (KIA) – a much higher number of killed than the standard one-to-three KIA-to-wounded-in-action (WIA) ratio.
Africa File, June 5, 2025: JNIM Offensive Across the Sahel; IS Somalia Down but Not Out; IS Central Africa Targets Uganda; IS Mozambique Threatens US and Western LNG Projects
June 5, 2025 - ISW Press
Jamaat Nusrat al Islam wa al Muslimeen (JNIM) has intensified the rate and scale of attacks against government-controlled population centers across the Sahel, particularly in Burkina Faso and Mali, since the beginning of May.
Iran Update, June 4, 2025
June 4, 2025 - ISW Press
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei categorically rejected the recent US nuclear proposal because the proposal would require Iran to eventually halt all uranium enrichment on Iranian soil. Iran’s continued rejection of the US demand for zero uranium enrichment could cause the US-Iran nuclear negotiations to collapse. Axios reported on June 2 that the US proposal would allow Iran to enrich uranium at three percent on Iranian soil during the establishment of a regional nuclear consortium.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 4, 2025
June 4, 2025 - ISW Press
The Kremlin is fixating on recent train derailments in Russia in order to further long-standing Kremlin narratives claiming that Ukraine is an illegitimate negotiating partner that is uninterested in peace, likely to distract the broader information space from recent Kremlin officials' statements about Russia's own disinterest in a negotiated settlement. Russian President Vladimir Putin held a meeting with members of the Russian government on June 4 and discussed the May 31 collapse of two railway bridges in Kursk and Bryansk oblasts.
Russian Occupation Update, June 3, 2025
June 4, 2025 - ISW Press
Russian occupation officials continue to articulate plans for the forced removal and deportation of Ukrainian children over the course of Summer 2025.
Iran Update, June 3, 2025
June 3, 2025 - ISW Press
Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Abbas Araghchi likely discussed the Lebanese government’s efforts to prevent Hezbollah’s reconstitution during a visit to Beirut on June 3.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 3, 2025
June 3, 2025 - ISW Press
Kremlin officials publicly acknowledged that Russia seeks the “complete destruction” of Ukraine, indicating Moscow’s disinterest in good faith peace negotiations and a near-term resolution to the war.
Iran Update, June 2, 2025
June 2, 2025 - ISW Press
Iran increased its stockpile of 60 percent enriched uranium by 133.8 kilograms, or 3.2 significant quantities, since February 2025, according to an unreleased International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report. Iran has enough 60 percent enriched uranium, if enriched further, to produce nearly 10 nuclear weapons.