Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 4, 2024
October 4, 2024 - ISW Press
Ukrainian forces struck a fuel storage facility in Anna, Voronezh Oblast on the night of October 3 to 4.
 |
 |
Publications
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 3, 2024
October 3, 2024 - ISW Press
The Russian offensive effort in eastern Ukraine that began in fall 2023 continues to produce gradual Russian tactical gains in specific sectors of the front, but operationally significant gains will likely continue to elude Russian forces. (ISW distinguishes between tactical gains, which are relevant at the tactical level of war in the near vicinity of the fighting, and operational gains, which are significant at the operational level of war and affect large sectors of the entire frontline.)
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2024
October 1, 2024 - ISW Press
Russian forces likely seized Vuhledar as of October 1 following a reported Ukrainian withdrawal from the settlement, though it is unclear if Russian forces will make rapid gains beyond Vuhledar in the immediate future. Geolocated footage published on September 30 and October 1 shows Russian forces planting Russian flags and freely operating in various parts of Vuhledar, and Russian milbloggers claimed on October 1 that Russian forces seized the settlement.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 30, 2024
September 30, 2024 - ISW Press
The Russian government plans to spend $183 billion on national security and defense in 2025 — about 41 percent of its annual expenditures. The Russian government submitted a bill on the federal budget for 2025 to 2027 to the State Duma on September 30. The bill projects federal revenues to be $433 billion in 2025 and federal expenditures to amount to $446 billion.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 29, 2024
September 29, 2024 - ISW Press
Western countries continue to invest in the growth of Ukraine's defense industrial base (DIB).
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 28, 2024
September 28, 2024 - ISW Press
Western officials continue to highlight efforts by the People's Republic of China (PRC) to support the Russian war effort in Ukraine. The Times reported on September 27 that Western officials revealed that an unspecified PRC company is sending a range of military drones to Russia for testing and eventual use by Russian forces in Ukraine. A Western official reportedly stated that the PRC company signed the agreement with Russia in 2023 and that there is "clear evidence that PRC companies are supplying Russia with deadly weapons for use in Ukraine."
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 27, 2024
September 27, 2024 - ISW Press
Ukrainian forces repelled a reinforced battalion-size Russian mechanized assault in the Kupyansk direction on September 26 — the first large Russian mechanized assault along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line since Winter 2024.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 26, 2024
September 26, 2024 - ISW Press
Germany, France, and the United States announced several immediate and more long-term aid packages for Ukraine on September 25 and 26. US President Joe Biden announced on September 26 that he directed the DoD to allocate all of the remaining security assistance funding to Ukraine (roughly $8 billion) by the end of Biden's presidential term, including funding from the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative, and that he authorized $5.5 billion in Presidential Drawdown Authority to fund the drawdown of US equipment for Ukraine and replenish US stockpiles.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 25, 2024
September 25, 2024 - ISW Press
Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to threaten the possibility of a nuclear confrontation between Russia and the West in order to exert further control over Western decision-making and discourage the West from allowing Ukraine to use Western-provided weapons to strike military objects in Russia.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2024
September 24, 2024 - ISW Press
Russian forces have reached the outskirts of Vuhledar amid what appears to be an intensified offensive push near the settlement, but the capture of Vuhledar is unlikely to afford Russian forces any particular operational edge for further offensive operations in western Donetsk Oblast. Geolocated footage published on September 24 shows that Russian forces advanced into eastern Vuhledar up to 12 Desantnykiv Street, confirming reports from Russian and Ukrainian sources that Russian troops broke into eastern Vuhledar between September 23 and 24.