Warning Update: Iraq’s Sunni Insurgency Begins as ISIS Loses Ground in Mosul

February 7, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

Early indicators suggest that a post-ISIS Sunni insurgency may be forming in Iraq and al Qaeda (AQ) is trying to gain traction within it.

Iraq Situation Report: January 25 - February 1, 2017

February 1, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

ISIS continued to reestablish its presence in its historic support zones; other Sunni insurgent groups may form in Iraq as ISIS focuses on shifting from a governing to guerilla style terrorist organization.

Iran Positions for Reset in Iraq after Recapture of Mosul

January 26, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

The recapture of Mosul can reset the balance of power between Iran and the U.S. in Iraq and the region.

Iraq Situation Report: January 12-24, 2017

January 24, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

The Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) pushed ISIS out of eastern Mosul on January 24, but will need to continue efforts to expel ISIS from historic support zones in Diyala and Anbar.

Iraq Situation Report: January 6-11, 2017

January 11, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

ISIS continued to demonstrate its ability to carry out spectacular attacks inside Baghdad from January 6 to 11, following weeks of increasing activity in the capital in response to its losses in Mosul.

Iraq Situation Report: December 21, 2016 - January 5, 2017

January 5, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

ISIS launched waves of counteroffensives and spectacular attacks across Iraq after operations in eastern Mosul resumed on December 29.

Iraq Situation Report: December 7-20, 2016

December 20, 2016 - Emily Anagnostos

Local and regional actors are maneuvering to secure their position in 2017 and for a post-ISIS Mosul.

Iraq Situation Report: December 1-6, 2016

December 6, 2016 - Emily Anagnostos

The Council of Representatives met to discuss the 2017 federal budget on December 4 and 5 but failed to put the budget to a final vote .The Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) deployed security forces from Baghdad to northern Iraq, as ISIS spectacular attacks in the capital decreased.

Iraq Situation Report: November 18-30, 2016

November 30, 2016 - Emily Anagnostos

The Iraqi Council of Representatives (CoR) passed a law on November 26 that solidifies the Popular Mobilization, the majority of which are Shi’a militias with a history of sectarian violence, as a permanent security institution in Iraq.

Anticipating Iraq’s Next Sunni Insurgency

November 30, 2016 - Emily Anagnostos

Iraq could face another Sunni insurgency after ISIS loses control of Mosul. The U.S.-led Operation Inherent Resolve has not resolved the political conditions that originally caused Sunni Arabs to mobilize in a non-violent protest movement in 2012-2013. Sunni Arabs in Iraq who are liberated from ISIS’s control will not necessarily be reconciled to the Iraqi Government.